lberman l/LaurentZy

Tota

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lberman l/LaurentZy

Tota

Conviction to share Imagine if a long-term energy future also depended on the discovery of new oil resources ©

Although oil resources are still plentiful, to satisfy growing demand both now and in the future Total continues to make significant discoveries. Relentlessly seeking to increase the productivity of oil field reserves, we innovate to exploit new sources of fossil fuel. But because oil is precious, it will be vital to focus its usage in those areas where it is hardest to replace: in transportation and petrochemicals. www.total.com

Our energy is your energy APRIL / MAY 2012

Contents

Cover story

Features

Beware the iMob Andrew Marshall If all else fails, switch off the internet? Dave Clemente No escape from a volatile vox pop Tina Fordham   Xinghai Fang Three things the West must do to survive € Mark Malloch-Brown Diplomacy can bring peace to Syria   China The great leap into the unknown Kerry Brown

Reassessing the Wukan ‘revolution’ Malcolm Moore „ Southeast Asia No need to fear the elephants

Tinh Dinh Le and Cleo Paskal „„ Parag Khanna Forget America, Britain’s future is the EU „ Iran Iranian opinion is key to avoiding war Patricia Lewis

Dictatorships are inured to sanctions Hassan Hakimian In rigged elections, •–% is the new ˜˜% Ali Ansari Inside the world of Iran’s female ninjas Shappi Khorsandi „ Arab World Like father, like son in Syria Bernd Debusmann

From the Editor

This year three of the permanent members of the UN Security Council – the US, France and Russia – are holding elections, while a fourth, China, is embarking on its once-in-a-decade leadership transition. All over the world governments are having to deal with an increasingly volatile public opinion.

Last year the Arab people rose up. The same wave, less powerful but still unpredictable, is now spreading. There is no new revolutionary ideology behind this wave. What we have now is a digital culture which means that new ideas – such as the Occupy movement’s ‘We are the ˜˜ per cent’ – take off globally.

Regulars

Time to rein in Libya’s militias Donatella Rovera London Who owns our skyline? Sally Peck   Europe How France’s quiet man is upsetting the

European applecart Jonathan Fenby Berlin is playing a long game Stewart Fleming Ž Environment Throw nothing away. It’s time to upcycle

Felix Preston „ Falklands A masterclass in UN tactics Michael Maclay Letters On Obama and Niall Ferguson ‘ Notebook by Konstantin von Eggert ‘ Ten minutes with... Rick Falkvinge, Swedish pirate Under the radar Chatham House experts on global issues

Our cover story (page ®) looks at one of the transforming aspects of the new vox populi, the web-based campaigns that are blurring the old distinctions between Left and Right. Like it or not, this is the future of political engagement.

Even China, with its minutely choreographed leadership change, is not immune. As Kerry Brown writes on page °•, China’s new generation of leaders will have to be politicians, not technocrats, to meet the challenge of a public opinion swayed by social media.

Amid rising talk of a pre-emptive strike against Iran, Patricia Lewis writes (page ±²) that Iranian public opinion is turning away from the government’s nuclear ambitions.

THE RIGHT INFORMATION IN THE RIGHT HANDS LEADS TO AMAZING THINGS. With intelligent information, Thomson Reuters helps over 20 million businesses and professionals impact the world in extraordinary ways. It’s possible using our advanced information tools and services. Seamlessly integrated databases that dig deeper. Smart algorithms that provide fuller context. Real-time analysis that saves money — and lives. And predictive research systems that detect the undetectable. Leading scientists to greater discoveries, making financial markets fair and transparent, and promoting the rule of law. When harnessed, knowledge helps professionals spark ideas and actions that extend everywhere. And affect everyone.

missed by the media • Postcard from... Rome Jargonbuster decries ‘fit for purpose’   Books essay Gareth Price on Ahmed Rashid Film Burhan Wazir on Arab Spring documentaries • Books Richard Dalton’s Iran reading list ‘Ž ‘ of the best and worst… countries to be a woman Cover by Tom Gauld

We are delighted to have a column by Dr Xinghai Fang, who has taken time off from running the Shanghai Office of Financial Services to assure the West that China’s rise does not mean the inevitable decline of the developed countries. On page • he offers some simple advice on how to compete with the rising powers. Alan Philps

THAT’S THE KNOWLEDGE EFFECT. SEE HOW WE’RE PROVING IT AT THOMSONREUTERS.COM

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