The Kurdish Policy Imperative Edited by Robert Lowe and Gareth Stansfield ʻThis well-researched and carefully constructed volume illuminates an important new factor in Middle East politics, the impact of the modern Kurdish nation on the four main countries they inhabit as momentous changes take place in Iraq, Turkey, Syria and Iran. Even without an early hope of independence, the Kurds, one of the worldʼs largest populations without their own state, have a potential which needs to be recalculated. This book serves the purpose admirably and is a must for those who wish to understand the region in depth.ʼ – Sir Jeremy Greenstock, former UK Special Representative for Iraq and Ambassador to the UN

ʻInvaluable ... should be read by any serious observer of Kurdish and Middle East politics.ʼ – Jeremy Bowen, BBC Middle East Editor

August 2010 | 232 pages ISBN: 978-1-86203-198-2 | £30 (hardback) ISBN: 978-1-86203-199-9 | £16.99 (paperback) Available from: www.chathamhouse.org.uk/publications Contents

VOLUME 66 NUMBERS 8/9 THE WORLD TODAY, founded in 1945, is published by The Royal Institute of International Affairs. The Institute is precluded by its Royal Charter from expressing an opinion of its own on any aspect of international affairs. Any views expressed in this publication are, therefore, those of the contributors. Copyright is normally owned by The Royal Institute of International Affairs. Articles and letters should be sent to: The Editor, The World Today, Chatham House, 10 St James’s Square, London SW1Y 4LE. +44 (0) 20 7957 5712 email: wt@chathamhouse.org.uk gwalker@chathamhouse.org.uk Advertising and subscription enquiries: +44 (0) 20 7957 5712

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PAGE 18 IRAQ

PAGE 10 JAPAN

4 GLOBAL POWER SHIFTS:

Rise and Fall Paul Kennedy 6 China Calling John Bray 10 Brand BRIC Brings Change Marcos Galvão 13 Watch the CIVETS Michael Geoghegan 14 Costly Muddle Claire Spencer 15 18 IRAQ AND THE AMERICAN PULLOUT: Separate We Must Rachel Schneller 21 BRITAIN’S STRATEGIC DEFENCE AND SECURITY REVIEW:

Fixing Security Failure Tim Cross and Nigel Hall 23 MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS:

Failing the Global Poor David Hulme 23 Caring About Health Devi Sridhar and Lawrence Gostin 26 29 RWANDAN ELECTION: Doubts About the Poster Boy Mike Pflanz 32 CLIMATE CHANGE AFTER COPENHAGEN: Beyond Doom and Gloom Bernice Lee 35 LOW-CARBON ECONOMY: Frontier Energy Antony Froggatt 38 UNCONVENTIONAL GAS: Cheap Gas Coming? Paul Stevens

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EDITOR Graham Walker ASSISTANT EDITOR Alison Couldridge DESIGNER Martin Colyer DATABASE Michael Farrell INTERN Agnes Frimston

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