Contents

VOLUME 65 NUMBER 12

THE WORLD TODAY, founded in 1945, is published by The Royal Institute of International Affairs. The Institute is precluded by its Royal Charter from expressing an opinion of its own on any aspect of international affairs. Any views expressed in this publication are, therefore, those of the contributors. Copyright is normally owned by The Royal Institute of International Affairs. Articles and letters should be sent to: The Editor, The World Today, Chatham House, 10 St James’s Square, London SW1Y 4LE. +44 (0) 20 7957 5712 email: wt@chathamhouse.org.uk gwalker@chathamhouse.org.uk Advertising and subscription enquiries: +44 (0) 20 7957 5712

THEWORLDTODAY.ORG DECEMBER 2009

PAGE 3

PAGE 9 NIGER DELTA

PAGE 23 NATO

4 PEOPLE SMUGGLING: Pirates, Bandits, Traffickers Gerrard Cowan 7 HORN OF AFRICA FOOD CRISIS: Perfect Storm Roger Middleton 9 DRAMA IN THE NIGER DELTA: Predators Circle Daniel Balint-Kurti 12 PAKISTAN: Clear, Hold, Build Gareth Price 15 DEMOCRATIC IRAQ: Election Fever Gareth Stansfield 18 IRAN, ISRAEL AND HIZBOLLAH: Stark Choices Anoushka Kurkjian 21 EUROPEAN FOREIGN POLICY: Faces for Europe Richard Whitman 23 NATO’S NEWSTRATEGIC CONCEPT: Going Nuclear Paul Cornish 25 KAZAKHSTAN AND THE ORGANIZATION FOR SECURITY

AND CO-OPERATION IN EUROPE: Values Clash Alex Nice

EDITOR Graham Walker ASSISTANT EDITOR Alison Couldridge DESIGNER Martin Colyer DATABASE Michael Farrell INTERN James Bentley

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