March 2007 The World Today Volume 63 Number 3

The World Today , founded in 1945, is published by The Royal Institute of International Affairs.

The Institute is precluded by its Royal Charter from expressing an opinion of its own on any aspect of international affairs. Any views expressed in this publication are, therefore, those of the contributors. Copyright is normally owned by The Royal Institute of International Affairs.

4 CALCULATIONS FOR AN AIR ATTACK ON IRAN Bombs Away? Andrew Brookes

6 IRAN Bread not the Bomb Bernd Kaussler

8 IRAQ: CIVIL WAR ON THE INTERNET Window into the Dark Heart Paul Eedle

10FRENCH ELECTIONS Change Abroad Anne-Elisabeth Moutet

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12 BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINIA: EUROPEAN UNION MEMBERSHIP No Time to Walk Away John Schmidt

15 NIGERIAN ELECTIONS Big Men and Ballot Boxes Sola Tayo

17 NIGERIA Resignation and Cynicism JohnRobertson

18 HONG KONG Life in the Shadow Willy Lam

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ASSOCIATED PRESSS

20CAMBODIA: THE KHMER ROUGE COURT Escape from Justice? Gabriel Oosthuizen andAnna Richards

22TOURISM AND THE THREAT OF TERRORISM Safe hands Bridgette Sullivan-Taylor and David Wilson

25CHEMICAL, BIOLOGICAL, RADIOLOGICAL AND NUCLEAR TERRORISM Tomorrow’s Threat Paul Cornish

Editor Graham Walker Assistant Editor Alison Couldridge

Designer Martin Colyer

Database Michael Farrell Intern Ben de Castella

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