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Contents THEWORLDTODAY.ORG MARCH 2008

VOLUME 64 NUMBER 3

PAGE 3

THE WORLD TODAY, founded in 1945, is published by The Royal Institute of International Affairs. The Institute is precluded by its Royal Charter from expressing an opinion of its own on any aspect of international affairs. Any views expressed in this publication are, therefore, those of the contributors. Copyright is normally owned by The Royal Institute of International Affairs.

Articles and letters should be sent to: The Editor, The World Today, Chatham House, 10 St James’s Square, London SW1Y 4LE. +44 (0) 20 7957 5712 email: wt@chathamhouse.org.uk gwalker@chathamhouse.org.uk Advertising and subscription enquiries: +44 (0) 20 7957 5712

PAGE 19 ZIMBABWE

PAGE 12 AIRLINES AND CLIMATE CHANGE

IRIN/FLICKR.COM/PHOTOS/FELIBARRIENTOS

4 IRAQ FIVE YEARS ON: Beyond the Demons Laith Kubba

6 IRAN: Winter of Discontent? Ali Ansari

9 IRAN - THE NUCLEAR ISSUE: Calming the Crisis Wyn Bowen and Michael Goodman

EDITOR Graham Walker

ASSISTANT EDITOR Alison Couldridge

DESIGNER Martin Colyer

DATABASEMichael Farrell

INTERNJoanna Shayer

12 AIRLINES AND CLIMATE CHANGE: Climate on the Runway Martin Broughton

14 AIRLINES, CLIMATE AND EUROPEAN EMISSIONS TRADING: Trading Tough Caroline Lucas

16 KENYA: Back from the Brink? Sally Healy

19 ZIMBABWE:Ides of March Knox Chitiyo

22ECONOMY:Gyrations and Dreams Holger Schmieding

24KOSOVO:New Line in the Balkan Sand James Pettifer

27 TAIWAN AND CHINA:Olympian Task Steve Tsang

30CHINA:Big Ifs Kerry Brown

Readers requiring copies of articles published in this magazine must obtain permission to copy from the Copyright Licensing Agency, 5 Dryden Street, London WC2E 9NW. The

CLA is authorised to grant permission to copy in both the UK and the US. Permission to reprint or republish in any form must be sought from the Editor: email:

wt@chathamhouse.org.uk Back copies are available from 1990. Enquiries: +44 (0) 20 7957 5712 The World Today is indexed by ABC Pol Sci, IPSA and PAIS and available on microfilm from National Archive Publishing Company, www.napubco.com

Electronic versions are also available from ProQuest Information and Learning, www.proquest.com Charity Reg. No 208223 ISSN 0043-9134. Printed by Warners Midlands Plc, The Maltings, Manor Lane, Bourne, Lincolnshire PE10 9PH.

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